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Poverty elimination back to square one as COVID-19 wipes past progress: Experts

first_imgThe research notes that at the most optimistic scenario where the country’s GDP grows by 4.2 percent, there will still be at least 1.3 million additional poor people due to the pandemic, bringing the percentage to 9.7 percent of the population.Due to the harsh impacts of COVID-19 on the economy, the government cut down its GDP growth estimate to 2.3 percent this year, the lowest in 21 years from the initial estimate of 5.3 percent. In the worst-case scenario, the country’s GDP growth may plunge to 0.4 percent.SMERU projects that with the pandemic causing a decline in economic activities, there will be a supply and demand shock that will affect economic growth.Ridho notes that a declining income as a result of COVID-19 is the most severe impact on poor people or those close to poverty and vulnerable groups, as most poor people work in the informal sectors, relying on daily incomes for a living.The government initially projected that an additional 1.1 million people might fall into poverty in a bad-case scenario following the pandemic, while in the worst-case scenario, the figure might balloon to 3.8 million people. It also predicted that 2.9 million to 5.2 million people might be furloughed by the end of the pandemic because of economic shocks.As of April 13, about 2.8 million people have lost their jobs, according to Manpower Ministry and the Workers Social Security Agency (BPJS Ketenagakerjaan) data.In order to cushion the blow on society’s most vulnerable, the government has set aside Rp 110 trillion (US$7 billion) in social safety net programs, which includes cash transfers, staple food relief, a boost in the existing family hope program (PKH), free electricity and the preemployment card program to help those who have lost their jobs.SMERU senior research fellow Asep Suryahadi said the surging number of poor people would definitely affect the country’s economic recovery post-pandemic.  “We cannot hope for much help from the outside [foreign countries] for recovery. The jury’s still out on whether a quick recovery will happen or not,” he said.Asep suggested that the government address the supply and demand side of the economy, meaning businesses and consumers. While the government has addressed the demand shocks through various social protection programs, he urged the government to help the companies affected by the pandemic, which will subsequently help the poor get back on their feet once the health crisis is over.“I think the additional poor people are mostly people who have lost jobs. […] They have a productive capacity; they’re not chronically poor. Once jobs are available, they will be able to work again and hopefully move out of poverty,” he said.Meanwhile, economist and Perbanas Institute lecturer Piter Abdullah criticized the government’s initial boast about its poverty reduction progress in the first place.  “The success is not solid enough. What happened was just the movement of [people] being poor to almost poor and prone to poor, so not really moving from being poor to being middle class,” he said.The lack of structural change in the economic movement caused the vulnerable poor to be prone to economic shocks, Piter added.“When there is an [economic] shock, like now, they go back to being poor. Once they lose their earnings or when their business is disrupted, they go back to being in the poor group, especially those in the informal sector and those losing their jobs in the informal sector,” he said.Enny Sri Hartati, executive director of the Institute for Development of Economics and Finance (INDEF), said the country’s economic recovery largely depended on the government’s COVID-19 handling.A pandemic that lasts more than two months might push people into poverty, she added. “It’s important that during the crisis, other than maintaining the people’s purchasing power through social protection, [the government] must ensure that the productive sector does not stop operating. If the [productive sector] collapses, the recovery after the pandemic will be difficult, with a high unemployment rate.” The government might have a prolonged struggle with eradicating poverty in the country as the months-long COVID-19 pandemic might set progress back to square one, a report by SMERU Research Institute predicts.A projected 8.5 million people will fall into poverty this year as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, according to the report. In the worst-case scenario, Southeast Asia’s biggest economy will grow by just 1 percent in 2020.The prediction means that the number of poor people will surge to 33.24 million or 12.37 percent of Indonesia’s total population, a figure last seen in 2009 at 32.5 million people before it gradually declined over the years. The projected increase will likely wipe out the country’s poverty eradication progress, which saw in September 2018 the country succeeded in cutting its poverty rate to a single-digit level of 9.6 percent for the first time in history.  Statistics Indonesia (BPS) data from September 2019 showed that 24.79 million Indonesians lived in poverty, equivalent to 9.22 percent of the total population.“The Indonesian economy needs to recover [after the pandemic], that’s for sure, but efforts to reduce the country’s poverty rate has reversed by 10 years, where the poverty level is at 12 percent [of the total population]. All of the difficult steps that have been taken will then have to be redone to return to the 9.22 percent level,” SMERU researcher Ridho Al Izzati told The Jakarta Post.So far, the government has been distributing cash and non-cash assistance as part of its efforts to eradicate poverty in remote and urban areas, with initiatives like the staple food card and family hope (PKH) program.center_img Topics :last_img read more

Governor Wolf Announces Pennsylvania Nearing Year-End Goal for Reducing Veterans Homelessness

first_img December 15, 2015 Governor Wolf Announces Pennsylvania Nearing Year-End Goal for Reducing Veterans Homelessness Government That Works,  Human Services,  Press Release,  Results,  Veterans Harrisburg, PA – Governor Tom Wolf and officials from the Pennsylvania Department of Military and Veterans Affairs (DMVA) today announced that as part of the Governor’s challenge to significantly reduce veteran homelessness, 481 homeless veterans in Pennsylvania were placed in permanent housing between Sept. 23 and Nov. 30, 2015. The Governor’s challenge was announced on Sept. 22.“Pennsylvania is making steady progress in housing its homeless veterans. With winter weather and extreme cold temperatures rapidly approaching, it is more important than ever that we locate and assist them,” said Governor Wolf. “While we still must wait for final numbers for December, we know that we are getting closer to meeting our goal of providing 550 veterans with stable housing, as well as access to the programs and services that will help them rebuild their lives, by the end of the year.”The commonwealth’s vast network of state agencies and community partners continue to work diligently to hit functional zero, which means having the process and the resources in place to identify and house any homeless veteran who wants to be assisted.“Together, the city of Lancaster and Lancaster County have already announced that they have the systems in place to successfully meet the needs of homeless veterans in their area and we know other communities are very close to making the same announcement,” said Brig. Gen. Jerry G. Beck Jr., DMVA’s deputy adjutant general for veterans affairs. “Many other cities, including Pittsburgh, have also made huge strides. It’s been rewarding for us to coordinate and rally the efforts of all of the stakeholders in this effort and we will continue to advocate for Pennsylvania’s homeless veterans.”The challenge, officially known as the Mayors Challenge to End Veteran Homelessness, is an initiative of the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) that was launched in June 2014. It was conceived as a means for local leaders to create and coordinate strategies to curb veteran homelessness. In early 2015, HUD conducted a point-in-time count which identified approximately 1,300 homeless veterans in Pennsylvania. Across the United States, 859 mayors, governors and county executives are currently participating in the challenge.For more information about the challenge, visit the Mayors Challenge to End Veteran Homelessness.To read Governor Wolf’s September 22 proclamation, click here. To monitor the progress about the challenge, follow DMVA on Facebook or Twitter.# # #Like Governor Tom Wolf on Facebook: Facebook.com/GovernorWolfcenter_img SHARE Email Facebook Twitterlast_img read more

Bench lets No. 16 Syracuse down in 77-73 loss to No. 12 North Carolina State

first_img Comments Tiana Mangakahia crashed to the floor, sliding past the baseline before coming to a stop near the basket stanchion. Gabrielle Cooper and Miranda Drummond rushed to her side, offering to help her up, but Mangakahia waived them off.She was in the middle of her 38th minute in the game and just picked off a pass before getting fouled to shoot the potential game-tying free throws. They’d have to wait though. She needed a break.“I was tired,” Mangakahia said. “When the whistle blows, you can take a breath and breathe.”Poor play by No. 16 Syracuse’s (18-6, 7-4 Atlantic Coast) reserves forced SU head coach Quentin Hillsman to play his starters more minutes, including a season-high 38 by his starting point guard. While Syracuse’s bench produces more than 40 percent of its points this season, the Orange’s bench on Wednesday scored just 18 points on 27 percent shooting in their 77-73 loss to No. 12 North Carolina State (22-2, 9-2).Syracuse’s depth, which for most of the season had been one of its greatest strengths, let them down against the Wolfpack. In a game in which NC State played just two bench players and neither of them scored a point, SU’s bench rotation failed to make any significant impact on either end of the floor. In turn, players like Mangakahia and Strautmane played more minutes than usual, and their play suffered down the stretch.AdvertisementThis is placeholder text“Missing shots, we’re fouling them in the paint, we missed some layups, missed some free throws down the stretch,” Hillsman said. “…When you play that way, it’s gonna bite you.”All season long, Syracuse has had consistent strong play from its bench players. After redshirting last season, Maeva Djaldi-Tabdi has been Syracuse’s best post scorer this year and the first big off the bench. Against NC State, her struggles from the field (3-of-9 shooting) limited her playing time to just 15 minutes. Kiara Lewis, a transfer from Ohio State, also failed to find her shot against the Wolfpack. The point guard came into Wednesday’s game averaging 8.1 points, fifth-best on the team, but made just one of her seven shots and none of her three 3-pointers.Eventually, the struggles and sluggishness prompted Hillsman to insert Raven Fox into the game to serve as a spark. Fox had played just 76 minutes this season but was inserted to inject life into a Syracuse team that desperately needed it. “Just (needed) some energy,” Hillsman said. “She came in, she got a really good crash down when they had a dump down…You put your players in the game, put them in position to where they could be successful, and do the best they can do.”But Fox’s energy did little to aid Syracuse’s offensive deficiency that transpired late in the game. She missed her first two shots before hitting a third, but she was taken out after just two minutes and never reentered the game. The absence of Kadiatou Sissoko also hurt SU’s bench against the Wolfpack. The France native, who was in of the better stretches of her freshman season, missed Wednesday’s game after her surgically-repaired knee swelled up after Sunday’s game against Boston College. Against an NC State team that out-rebounded the Orange by 16, Hillsman could’ve used another presence in the paint.“(Sissoko’s absence) definitely matters,” Hillsman said. “Anytime you can matchup with some size and athleticism in the paint, you have to try to do that.”The second quarter saw the Orange shoot a game-high 53.3 percent from the field, and a Mangakahia 3-pointer with eight seconds left gave them a two-point lead at the break. But as the second half drew on, Hillsman increasingly lacked options when he looked down his bench. Oftentimes, he glared down the sideline at his players as if he was about to make a substitution, but instead would turn away, back to the court, without making a change. That forced Mangakahia to take on much of the scoring load herself. She scored 10 of Syracuse’s 16 fourth-quarter points, including a steal and layup that cut SU’s lead to two. But that was the closest the Orange got the rest of the game as the Wolfpack pulled away. After catching her breath on the ground, Mangakahia missed the first of two free throws that could’ve tied the game. On the following possession, she dribbled past a defender and looked open for a layup but was caught by a NC State defender who blocked her shot. Her scoring burst, and Syracuse’s chances at its first home victory against a ranked team, were gone. “When we get a bit more of a rest throughout the game, it helps us in the end,” Mangakahia said. “Coach obviously has trust in us … we just couldn’t get the win.” Facebook Twitter Google+center_img Published on February 13, 2019 at 10:46 pm Contact Eric: erblack@syr.edu | @esblack34last_img read more

Expert Week 17 NFL Picks Advice: Tips for Pick ’em Pools, Survivor Pools

first_imgThe final week of the NFL regular season is here, and for those in contention in their pick ’em and survivor pools, every game is being scrutinized closely — especially the ones that “don’t matter”. The number-crunching experts from TeamRankings are here to help with strategy tips and advice for your Week 17 NFL picks. To finish the year strong in your football pools, you need to make calculated bets on high-value Week 17 picks and avoid trendy upset picks that aren’t worth the risk. TeamRankings is the only site that provides customized picks that maximize your edge in survivor pools. Since 2017, TeamRankings subscribers have reported nearly $1.5 million in survivor pool winnings. Which Of These NFL Week 17 Picks Should You Make?Once you know the best value opportunities of NFL Week 17, you can increase your odds to win your pool by making educated gambles on them. But there are a lot of potential decisions to make. Not all of them will make sense for your specific pool(s), and it takes a lot of data and math to get to the right answers.Fortunately, we’ve built technology to do all the analytical heavy lifting for you. You can use the links below to learn more about our data-driven game predictions, betting picks, and customized picks for pick ’em and survivor pools: More From TeamRankings:College Bowl Picks | Football Pick ’em Picks | NFL Survivor Picks | NFL Betting PicksWeek 17 NFL Pick ’em Pool Tips, AnalysisReview of last week’s pick ’em analysisLast week, we discussed three teams: Minnesota, Cincinnati, and the New York Jets. In an unusual twist, the upset pick with the Jets hit while the other two where we picked the favorite (as the Bengals had moved to a slight favorite by game time) did not. The Cincinnati game did feature a great comeback but then a loss at the end of overtime.WEEK 17 FANTASY RANKINGS:Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | KickerValue picks for NFL Week 17 pick ’em poolsGetting the biggest edge in your NFL pick ’em pool requires knowing not only every team’s win odds (i.e. how risky of a pick it is), but also how popular of a pick it is. Why? Because when you pick less popular teams and they win, you’ll shoot up your office pool standings.Based on win odds and pick popularity, the three teams below offer some of the best opportunities to differentiate your Week 16 picks from your pool opponents. To get all our pick recommendations for your pool — customized for its size, rules, and prize structure — check out our Football Pick ’em Picks product.Note: Win odds and estimated national pick popularity data below may change between publication time and kickoff time. If you want to see the latest numbers, our football picks product updates multiple times per day.Value FavoriteWeek 17 features a favorite that the public is picking at a lower rate than their chance to win. These types of teams are as close as you can get to “no brainer picks” in NFL pick ’em contests, since both win odds and value are on your side.Tennessee Titans (at Houston)The theme for this week is teams that have different motivations, and the public not fully accounting for those differences. In any other week, the Titans would have been a slight underdog with this game played in Houston. But the Texans know that they are locked into hosting a game on wild card weekend, and they also know their most likely opponent, Buffalo, is the No. 5 seed and will also likely rest starters.Tennessee, meanwhile, needs a win to get into the playoffs. The combination of the Titans going all out to make the postseason and Houston not needing to treat this one as a must-win  has the Titans as the betting favorite. Tennessee is currently the 3.5-point favorite, and we project them with 64-percent win odds.The public, though, is so far treating this game as if both teams have the same incentive, and heavily favoring Houston. Only 26 percent of the public so far is on the Titans to win. Given those differences, Tennessee is a high value play this week.Unpopular Toss-UpWhen a matchup is pretty much a 50/50 proposition, it usually makes sense to pick the less popular team. To win an NFL pick ’em pool, you’re probably going to need some luck in these “coin flip” games, and when you get it, you want to maximize the upside by scoring points the majority of your opponents miss. We say “usually” because that strategy could differ if you are leading your pool late and want to cover the most likely pick your opponents will make. So, for our subscribers, make sure you use your customized advice that takes into account your place in the standings when deciding on these kind of plays.Chicago Bears (at Minnesota)The Vikings were locked into the No. 6 seed  in the NFC after their Monday Night loss to Green Bay. That result means Minnesota has nothing to gain with a win and is likely to play this one without several starters. The point spread is only one point in favor of the Vikings.With 92-percent pick popularity, that makes this one an extreme game when it comes to an unpopular toss-up. You can basically get a coin flip on the Bears in this one, where the public is heavily the other way. If you are defending a position in the standings, you may want to stay with the public here. But if you are trying to make up ground, this is a key Week 17 swing game.Value GamblesIf you’re going to make a gamble on an underdog, you need to make sure that the potential reward (that is, how much your odds to win your pool will increase if your gamble pays off) is as big as possible. Take a bunch of extra risk on a super trendy upset pick, and the joke is on you.The pick below is not appropriate for all pools. These are ideal picks in a single-week pool with a larger number of entries, and also can be the type of choices you need to start making if you are trailing or just outside the money and need to gain some ground by zigging when the leaders are probably zagging.New York Jets (at Buffalo)The Jets hit last week as the value upset and make another appearance this week. This time, though, Buffalo being locked into their playoff spot contributes to the value. The Bills are likely to be resting starters, and the Jets are only 1.5-point underdogs. The public is taking Buffalo a ridiculously high 94 percent of the time. That public popularity number on the Bills would be high even if this wasn’t Week 17 and would potentially lead to a value upset call on the Jets.But with the Bills more likely treating this as a preseason contest, it becomes a top value upset pick in Week 17.More From TeamRankings:College Bowl Picks | Football Pick ’em Picks | NFL Survivor Picks | NFL Betting PicksWeek 17 NFL Survivor Pool Pick Tips, AnalysisReview of last week’s survivor pick analysisSeattle, the most popular choice for the public, lost to Arizona, taking out 22 percent of remaining entries. That was the biggest public loss, as 36 percent of the public was eliminated.For our recommendations, Indianapolis led the way in pools that had been going since Week 1, and the Colts won comfortably. The Chargers, though, were our most frequent recommendation in late-start pools, and they lost to the Raiders. Our recommendations were not as high on Seattle, though we still recommended them to nine percent of entries. Overall, our recommendations were eliminated at a 42-percent rate. The elimination rate was lower in pools that had started in Week 1 (26 percent) but much higher in late-start pools.For the full season (using weekly survival rates), the public would be expected to survive to this point 0.2 percent of the time, versus 0.7 percent for our recommendations.Week 17 survivor pool breakdownThe Los Angeles Rams are the most popular public choice this week in survivor pools at 26 percent. The Rams have the sixth-best point spread this week, favored by seven over Arizona. That means that there are some better values out there, but the big issue this late in the season is availability. No other team is being selected by more than nine percent of the public. The next most popular choices are the New England Patriots (nine percent), Dallas Cowboys (eight percent), and Kansas City Chiefs (seven percent), all teams that are larger favorites than the Rams. Those are the most popular options, but there are some other options that we are also recommending to our subscribers this week. If you need help deciding who to use this week, check out our NFL Survivor Picks product for customized advice for you pool.More From TeamRankings:College Bowl Picks | Football Pick ’em Picks | NFL Survivor Picks | NFL Betting Pickslast_img read more

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