But this year’s Week 1 results aren’t just close by Week 1 standards. The Broncos (over the Panthers), Bengals (Jets), Raiders (Saints) and Giants (Cowboys) all won by just 1 point: That’s the first time that four games in one week have been decided by a single point in 34 years.Since 1993, only one week has been as close on average as the 5.1-point margin tallied so far on opening weekend — Week 5 of the 2001 season. Since 1993, the standard deviation of from the previously mentioned 11.6-point average margin of victory was 2.3 points. That makes this season’s Week 1 a true outlier: At 5.1 points (pending tonight’s games), it is 2.3 standard deviations from average. The graph below shows the average margin in each week of the regular season since 1993: Of course, if you insist on having something to overreact to, your best bet for a hot take this morning is to look at the performance of the two NFC heavyweights, Seattle and Arizona. The Seahawks were favored by 10 points but needed a late touchdown to beat the Dolphins, 12-10. And Arizona, favored by 9 points against a New England squad without both Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski, missed a last-minute field goal and fell, 23-21. But given that Seattle and Arizona both rank in the top five in wins over the last three years, both teams have earned the benefit of the doubt after one mediocre performance. When a game takes an unexpected turn in Week 13 of an NFL season, it can easily be recognized for what it is: an outlier. But when a favorite is upset in Week 1, it’s harder to say whether the game is an aberration or a sign of how the rest of the season will unfold. Observers have such a tendency to overreact to the results in Week 1 that Football Outsiders has coined it National Jump to Conclusions Week.But this year, in a special Week 1 twist, there’s very little to overreact to, at least at a macro level. As usual, some games unfolded in fascinating ways — the Chargers blew a huge lead to the Chiefs, the Lions blew a huge lead but then still beat the Colts, the Raiders won on a 2-point conversion — but Week 1 should generate surprisingly few hot takes. In fact, the most notable result in Week 1 was how close the games were.Philadelphia beat Cleveland, arguably the worst team in the NFL, by 19 points. That otherwise tame result is notable for one reason: Of the 14 games played so far, this was the only game decided by double digits. That’s already tied for the single-week record, with two games (Washington/Pittsburgh and San Francisco/Los Angeles) still to play this evening.The NFL introduced free agency for the 1993 season, another in a long line of efforts by the league to create parity. From 1993 to 2015, the average margin of victory in Week 1 was 11.6 points; this year, pending the results of tonight’s games, the average margin of victory is a microscopic 5.1 points.
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42004AFC East41590 Passing offense-1.1+2.22720 92008NFC East41581 Rushing defense+2.5-0.5527 Rushing offense-1.6-1.82023 61976AFC Central41583 Passing defense+4.8+5.711 EXPECTED PTS ADDED/GAMERANK Offense-2.6+0.72518 How the 2015 and 2016 Broncos compare 71975AFC Central41581 Based on average Elo rating of the division’s teams.Source: Pro-Football-Reference.com And the rest of the AFC West has improved — by leaps and bounds, in some cases. After Week 12 of the 2015 season, the Broncos’ division rivals — the Chiefs, Raiders and San Diego Chargers — had an average Elo rating of 1489, well below the NFL-wide average of 1505. K.C.’s Elo rating ranked seventh in the league, and the Chiefs were five victories into what would eventually be an 11-game winning streak. But the Raiders and Chargers were each in the league’s bottom third, and the AFC West was fourth among the NFL’s eight divisions in overall average Elo.This year’s AFC West, by contrast, easily ranks first in all of football in average Elo. The Chiefs’ Elo rating has improved by 32 points from where it was this time last season, the Chargers’ by 68 points and the Raiders’ by a stunning 139 points — that makes Oakland the league’s second-most-improved team over that span (trailing only the Dallas Cowboys). With an average Elo of 1578, the 2016 AFC West is on pace to be the NFL’s 10th-best division since the league merged with the AFL before the 1970 season. 12013NFC West41624 CATEGORY2015201620152016 2015 numbers are for the full season; 2016 numbers are as of Nov. 27.Offensive and defensive EPA won’t necessarily match the sum of rushing and passing EPA on each side of the ball because penalties are tracked in a separate category.Source: ESPN Stats & Information Group 22007AFC South41608 All of this has conspired to make the Broncos’ bid for a championship repeat far more daunting than it seemed before the season began. Only 12 teams with an Elo rating as high as Denver’s current mark have missed the playoffs since the merger,2Most recently, the 2008 New England Patriots. but right now, it’s basically a tossup as to whether the Broncos will become No. 13. And because the Broncos’ playoff odds would have been much higher if they’d won or tied Sunday night, their playoff fate might end up depending on — of all things — the few inches that determined where Santos’s kick went after glancing off the goalpost in overtime.Check out our latest NFL predictions. Share on Facebook For most of the season, the Denver Broncos’ bid to repeat as Super Bowl champs looked like it would be relatively smooth sailing. The Broncos opened the season as the best team in the NFL according to FiveThirtyEight’s Elo ratings, and before this weekend, our playoff predictions (which are based on Elo) never gave the team less than a 74 percent chance of making it to the postseason. Going into Sunday night’s game against the division-rival Kansas City Chiefs, Denver had a healthy 76 percent chance of punching a return ticket to the playoffs.But after losing to K.C. when Chiefs kicker Cairo Santos banked in a game winner off the left upright as time expired, Denver unexpectedly finds itself in a precarious situation. The Broncos are in third place in the AFC West, a game behind the Chiefs and two behind the Oakland Raiders, and our model gives Denver only a 54 percent chance of returning to the playoffs. All of a sudden, the Broncos’ title defense is in doubt.How did Denver get into this predicament? For one thing, the team’s quality of play has slipped ever so slightly compared with last season. At this stage of the 2015 season, Denver ranked fourth in the NFL with a 1661 Elo rating, and our model assigned them a 10 percent probability of winning the Super Bowl. This year, despite competing with fewer great teams, the Broncos rank fifth with a 1606 Elo and a 4 percent Super Bowl probability. If they instead sported that 1661 rating from last season, this year’s Broncos would be second in the NFL, nipping at the New England Patriots’ heels for the right to be No. 1.For a while this season, the Broncos’ defense looked like it might be able to keep steady with the all-time great D the team assembled last season, and Denver still has the best defense in football according to expected points added. But like most of history’s dominant defenses, the Broncos’ D has experienced some reversion to the mean, and the team is now getting 4.8 EPA per game out of its defense rather than the 6.6 they got last season. As expected, Denver’s offense has improved under first-year starting QB Trevor Siemian (it would have been hard not to, given how poorly Peyton Manning played last season), but it hasn’t been enough to offset that defensive regression and a drop-off on special-teams after adjusting for strength of schedule.1If you add up Denver’s EPA on offense, defense and special teams, you’ll find that the Broncos have a better per-game point differential this seaon than they did in 2015. (By definition, EPA is designed to add up to a team’s points-per-game differential.) But the Broncos have also played an easier schedule this season; according to Pro-Football-Reference.com’s simple rating system, the 2016 Broncos (+5.4 SRS) are running slightly behind their 2015 form (+5.8) after adjusting for strength of schedule. As a result, the Broncos are no better off now than they were last year. The NFL’s strongest divisions, 1970-2016 Special teams-0.3-1.42526 102016AFC West41578 YEARDIVISIONTEAMSAVG. ELO 52014NFC West41588 81970NFC Central41581 31984AFC West51600 Defense+6.6+4.811
Recommended for you Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppProvidenciales, 07 Aug 2015 – Almost unbelievably, the expensive Special Investigation and Prosecution Team, which has not managed to secure any convictions through the court for charges on government and investor corruption had the audacity to ask the government for more money to run its investigation. In a media conference yesterday, Premier Rufus Ewing shared that it was requested and that his administration categorically said ‘no’ to the request for an additional $4.3 million. Premier Ewing said: “We as a government are not satisfied that we receive sufficient information on expenditure in terms of the areas of expenditure in much more detail in what was given and so we cannot give account, a full account of the funds that were appropriated and how they are being used.” A sad admission about a UK-hired team which has faced a barrage of criticisms and which is investigating and aiming to prosecute former government ministers and their relatives for alleged mismanagement of public funds.The Premier explained, “I find it very difficult for them to go and pay for protection for bodyguards for the prosecutors… while we as elected members, see our details downsized…” Finance Minister Washington Misick added that he believes the issue of protection is unduly inflated: “”It is alleged that there is a credible threat against the Prosecution Team that warrants them being protected. I don’t personally believe that there is any credible threat.” Add to this, Minister Washy shared that government has to pay for a second reverse osmosis plant for Grand Turk to the tune of $300,000; he believes a $4.3 million dollar spend on Helen Garlick’s SIPT would be a bad use of public money. We also learned that: SIPT has cost an excess of $36 million dollars, $15 million of which was covered by the UK – the balance by the Turks and Caicos. Four million dollars was allocated to the SIPT this year and there was four million to the defense for legal representation. If granted, the SIPT investigation bill will mount $12 million dollars for 2015-2016 alone. If not granted, it is said, this could lead to a delay in the SIPT trials set for December 1st. Related Items:pnp administration, premier rufus ewing, Special Investigation and prosecution Team, washington misick Cabinet Ministers get to spend more, CFO stays on the job Beaches puts former Premier on blast about controversial pier Preview of Budget reveals salary hikes, millions is saving with retired of UK bail out loan
Southampton have identified former AS Monaco manager Leonardo Jardim as a potential replacement for under-fire boss Mark Hughes.The Saints have lost their last three league games without scoring to slip to 16th in the table, just two points above the relegation zone.Southampton next face rivals Bournemouth at the Vitality Stadium on Saturday, and a fourth successive defeat would only add more pressure on Hughes.Despite the looming shadow of Jardim, Hughes insists he is not feeling the pressure and insists improved results are not far away.“We want maximum points as soon as we can but we don’t feel unduly concerned as yet because we think we are very close to turning things around,” he said, according to Express.“We stayed in the Premier League last year by one position. Realistically, are we going to go from 17th to the top six in eight games? Probably not.”Top 5 Ligue 1 players to watch throughout next weekend Tomás Pavel Ibarra Meda – September 11, 2019 With the international activity cooling down for the next month, we go back to the Top 5 players to watch in Ligue 1 next…“We need to be a little bit patient but we know we have potential in the group and are better than we were last year.”“People shape their view how well or how poorly you do in the early weeks of the season; the end game is where you are after 38 matches.”Hughes is hopeful Charlie Austin, who is currently on loan from Liverpool can rediscover his goalscoring touch against the Cherries this weekend.Hughes said: “Charlie is a goal scorer and if you give him the right service, in the right areas of the penalty box, more often than not he will get shots off.”“We have not been able to get him in those kinds of positions on a regular enough basis so that is something we have to improve.”
TEWKSBURY, MA — The campaign for State Rep. Candidate Mark Kratman (D-Tewksbury) today issued the following statement in response to a recent statement from the Dave Robertson campaign:—The Committee to Elect Mark Kratman is deeply disappointed in the negative campaigning and specious arguments of David Robertson and his campaign surrogates. This is the type of campaigning from a candidate without a record to run on and thus seeks to smear another candidate with half-truths.“Attacking a candidate for caring for an elderly family member while working two full time jobs shows Robertson’s immaturity and desire to deliberately mislead voters. You take care of family first, everything else is secondary,” said Campaign Chairman Vincent Fratalia. “Mark has not only consistently and proudly voted in Tewksbury since 2013 – he has also been elected twice to the Board of Selectmen, served as chair of the Economic Development Committee, and served on the boards of the Lowell Regional Transit Authority, the Wilmington-Tewksbury Chamber of Commerce, the Beautification Committee, the Wilmington-Tewksbury Elks, the Tewksbury Lions, the Knights of Columbus and organized the Memorial Day Parade, the 4th of July, and other Veteran activities as Vice Chair of the Patriotic Committee. His strong service to our fine communities over many years comprises both public and private entities and is widely recognized by residents and business owners in both towns.”“Voters care about the issues that affect them every day – paying their mortgages, their property taxes, water and sewer bills, raising their children (and writing those checks for sports, activities, and tuition), caring for their elderly parents, managing health care (and the co-pays from devastating illness), and growing their careers and families,” added Fratalia. “What we know best about Mark is that he is the hardest working candidate, that he is dedicated to his family and his community, and is driven to serve the people of our communities with facts, energy, and compassion.”—Like Wilmington Apple on Facebook. Follow Wilmington Apple on Twitter. Follow Wilmington Apple on Instagram. Subscribe to Wilmington Apple’s daily email newsletter HERE. Got a comment, question, photo, press release, or news tip? Email email@example.com.Share this:TwitterFacebookLike this:Like Loading… RelatedSTATE REP RACE: Tewksbury Republican Committee Attack Robertson Over Wilmington Democratic Committee Chair’s StatementIn “Government”STATE REP RACE: Committee To Elect David Robertson Issues Statement On Mark Kratman’s Voting HistoryIn “Government”BREAKING NEWS: 19th Middlesex State Rep Election Results Are In — Dave Robertson WinsIn “Government”
Domestic handset maker Micromax is exploring new strategies to defend its market share and is set to commence online ‘flash sale’ program to fend off competition from rivals such as Xiaomi and Motorola.Micromax, country’s second largest handset manufacturer, will sell exclusive products online at different price ranges on Flipkart, Amazon and Snapdeal, Vineet Taneja, chief executive, told The Economic Times.”Apart from creating a buzz, it (flash sale) also helps in planning our supplies better. It gives us an estimate of how much stock we have,” Taneja said.The company, which saw its revenues surging by 54% to around ₹10,000 crore for the fiscal year 2014-15, now claims to be the market leader in the sub-₹7,000 segment with 21% share, surpassing Samsung.To protect its market position, Micromax wants to replicate the flash sales approach followed by Chinese smartphone firm Xiaomi in the Indian market, which usually garners a huge response.Xiaomi is reported to have sold 50,000 units of Redmi 2 smartphone in less than two minutes in a flash sale offered in March.The company may also consider pre-bookings or passes, a strategy followed by another Chinese rival One Plus, to strengthen its offerings online.Micromax launched Canvas Spark on Tuesday, priced at ₹4,999, and will sell the smartphone exclusively on Snapdeal through flash sales from 29 April. It plans to strike similar deals with other online retailers Flipkart and Snapdeal.Taneja said the company aims to continue its lead position in the mass smartphone market, or sub-₹7,000 segment, with flash sale initiatives and by partnering with e-commerce giants. Micromax aims to post a growth of 50% this year also, by launching new models, carrying out flash sales and by stepping up local manufacturing.”Last year we sold 10 million smartphones in the mass category, where we are No 1. The opportunity is much larger, as 10 million feature phones still get sold every month and half of the existing smartphone users still have old smartphones. There’s a massive upgrade market available,” Taneja said.The company’s sales in mass market segment rose to 60% in January-March quarter, from 50% in April-June 2014. The Gurgaon-based handset maker has a market share of 18% in smartphone segment and 15% in overall market, according to IDC.
A general view of Reliance Jio headquarters is seen on the outskirts of Mumbai, India, June 1, 2016.Reuters fileReliance Industries plans to spend a further $2.8 billion on its Jio telecoms business in the current quarter, it said on Monday, taking its investment in the venture to more than $30 billion.Reliance derives the bulk of its revenue from its core refining and petrochemicals operations, but the group has bet big on Reliance Jio Infocomm. The project backed by Reliance owner Mukesh Ambani launched in September in a flurry of cheap phones, free voice and cut-price data plans that have forced rivals to respond.Announcing record profit for the 2016/17 financial year, Reliance said the additional investment is required for its fibre network as it expands Jio’s 4G reach.Analysts and investors have expressed concern over the time it will take Jio to recover its heavy outlay, but its head of strategy, Anshuman Thakur, said there would be a “drastic drop” in investment after the current quarter.Jio racked up 108.9 million subscribers by the end of March, Reliance said. It started charging for internet data this month, after more than seven months of free services, but has kept prices low.”Jio is witnessing the largest migration from free to paid services in history,” said Reliance Chairman Ambani.Ambani’s aggressive strategy to capture market share has led to rivals consolidating. His younger brother Anil Ambani’s Reliance Communications merged with smaller rival Aircel and in February India’s biggest telecoms company Bharti Airtel bought out the Indian operations of Norway’s Telenor.That was followed by Britain’s Vodafone announcing a merger with Idea to create the biggest telecoms company in India. Mukesh AmbaniReliance Jio official website (screen-shot)Jio, however, controls the highest chunk of 4G airwaves across India and has introduced a range of features to woo consumers in one of the world’s most competitive telecoms markets, from mobile phone apps to its own handset brand.Reliance earlier reported a 12.8 percent rise in the group’s fourth-quarter standalone net profit, topping analyst estimates, citing higher margins at its refining and petrochemicals business.The gross refining margin per barrel of crude — a key profitability gauge for refiners — was $11.50 for the quarter, against $10.80 a year earlier.Net profit on a standalone basis, which takes into account only the refining, petrochemicals, oil and gas exploration businesses, rose to 81.51 billion rupees ($1.26 billion) for the three months to March 31, beating analysts’ expectations of 80.10 billion rupees.On a consolidated basis, including newer businesses such as telecoms, retail and US shale gas operations, Reliance’s net profit rose 16.6 percent to 80.5 billion rupees.
Crude oil storage tanks are seen from above at the Cushing oil hub, appearing to run out of space to contain a historic supply glut that has hammered prices, in Cushing, Oklahoma, March 24, 2016. [ Representational image]Reuters fileOil prices fell on Monday, extending a steep decline in the previous session, as the market eyed an increase in output from the world’s three top crude producers, Russia, the United States and Saudi Arabia.Brent crude futures LCOc1 were at $75.34 per barrel at 0124 GMT, down $1.10, or 1.4 percent, from their last close.U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $66.31 a barrel, down $1.57, or 2.3 percent.Brent and WTI have fallen by 6.4 percent and nearly 9 percent respectively from peaks reached earlier in May.In China, Shanghai crude oil futures ISCc1 tumbled by 4.5 percent to 459 yuan ($71.83) per barrel.The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), as well as top producer but non-OPEC member Russia, started withholding supplies in 2017 to tighten the market and prop up prices, which in 2016 fell to a more than a decade low of under $30 per barrel.But prices have soared since the start of the cuts, with Brent breaking through $80 per barrel earlier in May, triggering consumer concerns that high prices would crimp economic growth and stoke inflation.”The pace of the recent rise in oil prices has sparked a debate among investors on whether this poses downside risks to global growth,” Chetan Ahya, Chief Economist at U.S. bank Morgan Stanley wrote over the weekend in a note.To address potential supply shortfalls, Saudi Arabia, de-facto leader of producer cartel OPEC, as well as top producer Russia said on Friday they were discussing raising oil production by some 1 million bpd.”Crude oil prices collapsed … after reports emerged that Saudi Arabia and Russia had agreed to increase crude oil production in the second-half of the year to make up for losses elsewhere under the production cut agreement,” ANZ bank said on Monday.Meanwhile, surging U.S. crude production also showed no sign of abating as drillers continue to expand their search for new oil fields to exploit.U.S. energy companies added 15 rigs looking for new oil in the week ending May 25, bringing the rig-count to 859, the highest level since 2015, in a strong indicator that American crude production will continue to rise.U.S. crude production C-OUT-T-EIA has already surged by more than 27 percent in the last two years, to 10.73 million barrels per day (bpd), bringing its output ever closer to that of Russia, which pumps around 11 million bpd.
Donald TrumpUS president Donald Trump will convene his national security team Sunday and weigh possibly drastic economic sanctions against North Korea after Pyongyang test-fired what it claimed was a hydrogen bomb able to fit atop a missile.“The national security team is monitoring this closely,” said White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders. “The president and his national security team will have a meeting to discuss further later today.”In a tweet Sunday, Trump denounced the powerful test-said to be the North’s first blast to exceed in power the atomic bombing of Hiroshima, Japan-as “very hostile and dangerous to the United States.”Other world leaders joined in the denunciation. China and Russia sharply condemned it, South Korean President Moon Jae-In called for the “strongest punishment,” and Britain said China should step up economic pressure on the North.In Washington, US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said he was preparing a package of economic sanctions to do that-measures “that would go as far as cutting off all trade and other business” with the North.“I’m going to draft a sanctions package and send it to the president for his strong consideration so anybody (who) wants to do trade or business with them will be prevented from doing trade or business with us,” Mnuchin said on “Fox News Sunday.”But he also said Trump had made it clear that “he will consider everything” and “look at all our options.”While the United States has virtually no trade with the North, the burden of sanctions such as Mnuchin described would fall heavily on China. About 90 percent of North Korean exports go to China.Early last month the United Nations Security Council adopted a seventh set of sanctions aimed at depriving the North of a billion dollars in income from exports. China approved the measures.Trump has repeatedly insisted that Beijing lean on the neighboring Pyongyang regime to stop its nuclear and missile development.But on Sunday he also aimed criticism at the government in Seoul, tweeting that the time for talks was over and that “appeasement” would not work.